2024 Presidential Election Predictions Date. Our prediction model runs the numbers to assess whether a slim lead will be enough to put ms harris in the white house. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our prediction model runs the numbers to assess whether a slim lead will be enough to put ms harris in the white house.